Cambria Global Real Price, Forecast, Insider, Ratings, Fundamentals & Signals

U.S. equity markets posted their worst week in a year while benchmark interest rates surged to five-month highs as investors monitored an intensification of geopolitical tensions and hawkish Fed commentary. Inflamed by resurgent energy prices and insatiable Federal government spending, Fed Chair Powell and other officials acknowledged a stalling-out of inflation progress in recent months and delayed cut expectations. Declining on all five trading sessions, the S&P 500 declined another 3.1% this week - its worst week since March 2023 - while high-flying technology stocks were hit particularly hard.

Active REIT ETFs are a strong choice for 2024 as they can potentially offer uncorrelated returns to portfolios. REIT ETFs allow investors to gain exposure to the real estate market via a tax- and cost-efficient, highly liquid vehicle.

U.S. equity markets closed-out a volatile first-half at their highest-levels of the year as investors cheered data showing continued resilience in economic activity alongside further signs of cooling inflationary pressure. Rebounding from its worst week since March, the S&P 500 advanced 2.3% to close at its highest-levels since April 2022. The Mid-Cap 400 and Small-Cap 600 each rallied over 4%. Lifted by a recovery in the most beaten-down property sectors, real estate equities led the rally on the week. The Equity REIT Index advanced 4.3% while Mortgage REITs surged 6%.

Rates Up, REITs Down? Whether fundamentally justified or not, commercial and residential real estate markets continue to bear the brunt of the Federal Reserve's historically swift monetary tightening cycle. Commercial real estate, in particular, has been the boogeyman that bank executives have blamed for unrelated distress. While there are pockets of distress, actual default rates remain historically low. The pockets of distress are almost entirely debt-driven, with the notable exception of coastal urban office properties. Nearly every property sector reported "same-store" property-level income above pre-pandemic levels.

The new pariah of the commercial real estate sector, Office REITs, have remained in free-fall in recent months, plunging another 30% this year following a plunge of nearly 40% last year. Just how bad is it? The surge in interest rates has turned a weak-but-manageable situation into a bleak one, but there is more nuance than what the prevailing narrative would suggest.

U.S. equity markets finished lower for a second-straight week as data showing an encouraging cooldown of inflationary pressures was offset by ongoing regional bank instability and an unresolved debt ceiling standoff. Declining for a second week after ending April at its highest levels of the year, the S&P 500 slipped 0.3% on the week, but the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 gained nearly 1%.

No slowdown here. After the worst year of performance on record in 2022, Industrial REITs have rebounded this year after earnings results showed a surprising re-strengthening of property-level fundamentals. Recent earnings results showed that demand continues to substantially outpace available supply. Rent growth reaccelerated in early-2023, with rental spreads averaging over 40%, while occupancy rates climbed to fresh record.

REIT Earnings Preview: When The Tide Goes Out.

Storage REITs are the best-performing property sector this year after lagging in late 2022, lifted by surprisingly solid earnings results and a thawing of the previously icy-cold housing market. Storage demand is driven largely by housing activity – specifically, home sales and rental market turnover - and the recent moderation in mortgage rates has eased concern of a deepening housing recession.

U.S. equity markets oscillated forcefully while interest rates plunged this week as contagion from a pair of mid-sized bank collapses spread to other lenders while authorities scrambled to contain the fallout. On brand with the "March Madness" theme this week, the S&P 500 seesawed between gains and losses in each session but ultimately ended the week higher by 1.1%.